Christian Parenti
December 5, 2012
In the spring of 1972, a slim book called
The Limits to Growth
dropped like an intellectual bomb on the developed world’s most
optimistic assumptions about itself. Peppered with computer-generated
graphs and written in clear, dispassionate language by a team of MIT
graduate students led by two young scholars, Dennis and Donella Meadows,
the book delivered a seemingly extreme argument, which ran as follows:
If 1970 rates of economic growth, resource use and pollution continued
unchanged, then modern civilization would face environmental and
economic collapse sometime in the mid-twenty-first century. Yes,
collapse—as in massive human die-offs.
It was a message that many people in the industrialized world already
seemed to feel intuitively. They could see it—or thought they could—in
the ever-faster pace of change embodied in highways, smog,
telecommunications, jet travel, tasteless frozen TV dinners, urban
riots, youth rebellion, and the bloody spectacle of a high-tech military
fighting low-tech guerrillas in Vietnam. For many people, the world was
moving too fast and in the wrong direction, and
The Limits to Growth seemed to prove that point scientifically.