Thursday, October 11, 2007

The $5 Billion Mulligan

Banks insist their credit problems are over. Why on earth do investors believe them?



Ordinarily, investors fret when companies have to write down the value of shoddy investments. "Write-downs," "write-offs," "mark-to-market adjustments"—whatever you want to call them—are admissions that a company woefully overestimated the value of assets on its books. Write-downs should be especially worrisome when taken by banks, since they are in the business of valuing financial instruments. And yet in recent weeks, as the nation's blue-chip investment banks—Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, and others—have announced multibillion-dollar write-downs because of poor lending decisions, their stocks have risen.

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