A Hot Wet Thousand Years and 10 Green Energy Stories to Avert it
The bad news is that I’ve been reading David Archer’s The Long Thaw
on climate change projections, and he thinks that the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change has been way too conservative. As I understand
him, his research shows that because of massive carbon emissions
produced by human beings, by 2100 the average temperature of the earth’s
surface will likely increase by 3 degrees C. But, he thinks that thereafter
it will go on up another 2 degrees, for a total of 5 over the next few
generations. The last time you had a climate 5 degree C. warmer than
our prehistoric climate was the Eocene, 40 million years ago. All
surface ice melted and the climate was tropical all the way to the
poles.
We don’t actually know if there has ever been such a rapid increase
in carbon in the atmosphere (there have been occasional periods in
geological time when the earth warmed up similarly, as with the Eocene,
but it is impossible to know at the moment over what time period that
occurred). Human beings nowadays are carbon-spewers on steroids.
Saturday, November 5, 2011
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