The polls have not been too kind to Obama's gay-marriage announcement. Both New York Times/CBS and USA Today/Gallup
show around 25 percent of voters saying they’re "less likely" to vote
for him because of it. Is Obama going to regret that he did this now?No.
I think it’s safe to say that that 25 percent wasn’t going to vote for
him anyway. Some young voters may be energized by his stand. So,
obviously, are some donors. Perhaps some black voters down on gay
marriage will stay at home. Perhaps. But in political terms, I’d say
Obama’s move is either a wash or a plus. In the long-term perspective of
history, his endorsement of marriage equality is a big plus.
Alternatively, could Romney be hurt by his association with the anti-gay-marriage forces?Clearly
he thinks so. When he spoke at Jerry Falwell’s old base, Liberty
University, in Virginia last week, Mitt was minimalist in his obligatory
endorsement of marriage between “one man and one woman.” Even so, the
prominent Romney supporter Bill White, the former president of the
Intrepid Sea, Air and Space Museum in New York, had such a strong
visceral response to these mild words that he demanded that the campaign return his contribution
($2,500, the maximum). It had finally sunk in that the presumptive GOP
nominee was supporting, as White put it, “a constitutional amendment
which would attempt to make my own legal and blessed marriage null and
void.”
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